Time The Market

The GTS Oscillator
300% Annual Return Possible
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Elliott Wave

Market Timing Is Possible

Some "experts" tell us that stock prices fluctuate in a "random walk". They believe therefore that market timing is impossible. Well, you don't believe that or you wouldn't have come to this website. Good choice!

Over 35 years of close study of investment markets as an investor, stockbroker and investment office manager, has shown me that stock price changes are rather very much dependent on the human emotions of greed and fear. When prompted by these emotions, humans make investment decisions in much the same way time and time again. Many investors reacting in this way produce repetitive cycles in the way money is flowing into and out of the markets. During this time, I have refined a measurement technique which provides me with a picture of these cycles, which is clear enough to provide highly reliable market turn signals along with likely durations of each swing.

The GTSOSC Oscillator

We call this technique the GTS oscillator or GTSOSC

On this site we will present information about the history and potential of GTSOSC and make available current predictions being provided by GTSOSC. **see disclaimer

The chart below is a recent graph of GTSOSC:

Look closely. Do you see the repetitive nature of this line? Notice that the highs and lows are bounded roughly between -400 and +200. One advantage of the oscillator over a price chart, for measuring market moves, is this tendency to stay within identifiable boundaries. Another look will tell you that the low and high extremes occur at quite regular intervals of time.

Closely Mirrors The S&P 500

Let's add a blue line showing the S&P 500 price changes over the same time period.

Notice that the price line closely matches the direction and timing of GTSOSC. That would be expected since GTSOSC is a measure of buying and selling pressure, or in emotional terms, Greed & Fear.

The price chart has no particular predictive value because it does not stay within identifiable boundaries. GTSOSC however, warns us to watch for a turn in prices when the oscillator approaches our observed extremes of -400 to +200.

Of course the boundaries are not set in stone. We need more precision than that to have an indicator which is reliable for investment decisions.

Moving Average Gives Us Predictive Value

The next chart adds the needed factor :

Notice that very precise turn signals are obtained when the GTSOSC (red line) crosses its own moving average GTSMA (green line).
Now here we have information that can provide profitable opportunities. We warn however that these are not "day-trader" opportunities, they provide signals about every 4 or 5 weeks. We like to have a game of golf or two between trades, don't you.

An important point to note is that the signals indicate market direction and an approximation for the duration of the new move. They do not describe how much price change will be involved. Some swings are minor and some are huge. More detail is provided in "Learn GTSOSC"

300% Annual Return Possible

The chart below shows what the cumulative result would be of trading just one E-Mini S&P futures contract in response to GTSOSC turn signals since the summer of 1998. Notice that, despite two of the worst declines in market history, from 2000 to 2003 and 2007 to 2009, the profit line continued its upward progress. GTSOSC is also suitable for timing other trading techniques which are based on broad index averages such as DJIA Futures (DJ), DOW Mini Futures (YM), SPDRS (SPY) and DIAMONDS (DIA).

This system has been tracked for over 20 years, with enhancements and fine tuning along the way. The cycles just keep repeating over and over again. To see recent signals Click here

Sample Analysis

Now let's look at a typical update sent to GTSOSC club members. It shows the GTSOSC chart with all current detail, including its cyclical numbering system and buy (BS), sell (SS) and cover or stand aside (C) signals.

"The GTSOSC appears to be in Cycle A down, although normal overbought was not reached on the ARMS figures and Cycle 5 was unusually short at 10 business days. The sell signal crossing of the GTSMA occurred on Feb 17, one day later than our target date from Feb 7 update. An average 15 business days for Cycle A projects a bottom for about 1 March. Profit from the buy signal on 26 Jan to sell signal on Feb 17 was 1450 $US."

A Special Bulletin was sent on Feb 22 as follows:
"The market broke sharply today thus validating our sell signal of Feb 17. Since the average profit on our signals is $950, and since our position is at + $900 in 2 days, this may be a reasonable point to take profits and stand aside to re-evaluate on a bounce of at least 10 points on the S&P."

And the 4 March 05 Market Update was as follows:
Cycle B started on 22 Feb and we are standing aside. B cycles are notoriously choppy and often lead to whipsaws back and forth across the GTSMA. They are sideways patterns which always give way to a C cycle downturn. We are watching for a SS which will confirm that downturn has begun. On average it would be expected about Mar 16.

Then on March 9 we wrote:
The GTSOSC gave a SS today, thus Cycle C looks to have started on Monday, 7 Mar and should run for most of March. The B cycle was only 8 business days so there remains a possibility that it is not quite complete. C cycles are usually quite profitable , so probably worth a try here rather than miss the opportunity.

To see our current analysis - Click Here

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Disclaimer:
This analysis does not suggest nor recommend that any trading position be taken. This is NOT financial trading advice. Individual financial circumstances vary as to appropriateness of investments. NO Guarantees are made on this site. Comments are the opinions of the author only.